Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 18.530922 21.161054 24.158755 27.855614 32.329831 37.618470 44.415984
2025-08-10 14.857628 18.067946 22.051352 27.448171 34.714283 44.379061 58.601811
2025-08-17 12.746775 16.142411 20.597360 27.032112 36.375425 49.940662 72.138995
2025-08-24 11.331927 14.809920 19.577662 26.830050 38.044732 55.606451 87.239482
2025-08-31 10.105024 13.533501 18.398077 26.111263 38.671790 59.643092 100.755701
2025-09-07 9.236412 12.641586 17.624389 25.829535 39.850741 64.741760 117.822004
2025-09-14 8.289627 11.528170 16.376573 24.590576 39.154291 66.281792 128.214991
2025-09-21 7.470754 10.527337 15.191058 23.283477 38.090861 66.851610 136.652200
2025-09-28 6.895590 9.847375 14.439021 22.604782 38.045250 69.399285 150.747163
2025-10-05 7.102049 10.396568 15.709915 25.611497 45.566524 89.850607 221.939802
2025-10-12 6.911247 10.287827 15.869158 26.612723 49.266207 102.920035 281.194897
2025-10-19 6.447742 9.692977 15.136050 25.819211 48.974753 106.088708 309.606243
2025-10-26 6.254149 9.550861 15.211099 26.676201 52.679940 121.356948 398.064687
2025-11-02 5.895722 9.101777 14.696540 26.282983 53.428308 128.805290 462.580706
2025-11-09 5.573587 8.691025 14.213641 25.890171 54.100605 136.328849 536.811148
2025-11-16 5.307567 8.359410 13.848121 25.699190 55.249350 145.876879 635.744395
2025-11-23 5.006088 7.944495 13.290203 25.019660 54.991018 150.680878 714.252132
2025-11-30 4.778233 7.647663 12.935892 24.753230 55.810067 159.742456 839.362127
2025-12-07 4.467236 7.181608 12.217968 23.580956 53.891801 157.928023 879.050721
2025-12-14 4.171402 6.729023 11.499455 22.343125 51.607863 154.083063 898.645409
2025-12-21 3.959794 6.421854 11.051752 21.699944 50.970773 156.791994 987.363364
2025-12-28 4.113560 6.803551 12.017540 24.546999 61.496032 213.016235 1870.668905
2026-01-04 4.067688 6.802990 12.197221 25.493766 66.374782 247.639676 2748.115816